VI · Protection
Power Out
analysistraining
Heat, cold, carbon monoxide, water, medicine.
Last reviewed 2026-10-07
How Outages Actually Hurt People
Carbon Monoxide From Generators
This is the one that kills, and it kills the prepared household specifically, because it requires owning a generator. CPSC’s 2022 Annual Estimates, released in May 2026, count an estimated 892 generator-associated carbon monoxide deaths from 2012 through 2022, 41% of consumer-product CO deaths, including 93 in 2022.
A mandatory federal rule requiring automatic shutoff and lower emissions was proposed by CPSC in 2023. It is not cited here as final. The Commission’s May 2026 guidance is to buy a model certified to PGMA G300-2023 or UL 2201-2023. UL 2201 models also have reduced CO emissions. Shutoff does not make indoor use safe. Check whether a generator you are buying carries CO shutoff — it is the feature that matters most and the one least advertised.
Heat, When the Outage and the Heat Wave Arrive Together
Heat-related deaths in the United States averaged 702 a year across 2004–2018, concentrated May through September, with adults over 65 making up 39% of them. The compound case is worse than either alone: modeling of a heat wave in Phoenix, Atlanta, and Detroit used 48 hours of total blackout and then staged restoration, and found heat-related mortality more than doubling relative to the same heat wave with power on.
Specific per-city figures from that modeling study circulate widely in secondary coverage. Only the paper’s headline result, the doubling, is used here.
Cold, and the Improvised Heat That Follows
Cold outages produce a second wave of carbon monoxide deaths from the things people burn indoors when the heat fails — charcoal grills, camp stoves, gas ovens left open. The CPSC aggregates these by product.
Candles
Candles start roughly 7,610 home structure fires a year, causing about 81 deaths, 677 injuries and $278 million in direct property damage, on the most recent NFPA estimates. Candles are 2% of home fires but 6% of home fire injuries.
The NFPA data is not specific to outages. The base rate alone is reason enough.
Electricity-Dependent Medical Equipment
Oxygen concentrators, ventilators, powered wheelchairs, dialysis equipment, infusion pumps and CPAP all stop with the power. The Department of Health and Human Services runs the emPOWER program, which publishes county and ZIP-level counts of Medicare beneficiaries relying on electricity-dependent equipment, updated monthly and overlaid with real-time hazard data.
emPOWER counts Medicare beneficiaries, so it undercounts the true dependent population — it misses the privately insured, Medicaid-only and pediatric users. Useful for community planning, not a census.
Food
4 hours
Refrigerator
Food stays safe about four hours if the door stays closed. The door staying closed is the variable you control.
48 hours
Full freezer
A full freezer holds a safe temperature about two days. Full is doing the work — thermal mass is the mechanism, which is why jugs of water in the empty space are worth putting in now.
24 hours
Half-full freezer
Half full, roughly half the time.
USDA and FoodSafety.gov figures. Two rules carry the rest of it: when in doubt, throw it out — and never taste food to determine whether it is safe. Appliance thermometers in the refrigerator and freezer turn all of this from guessing into reading a number, which matters most when you were not home for the outage and do not know how long it ran.
Water
How Much
At least one gallon per person per day, for drinking and sanitation, and more in hot climates or for anyone pregnant, nursing, ill, or small. Ready.gov frames the supply as several days at minimum. Containers you fill yourself should be replaced every six months; sealed commercial bottled water does not need rotating.
Boiling
A rolling boil for at least one minute. Above 5,000 feet, three minutes. Boiling handles biological contamination and does nothing for chemical contamination.
Bleach, and Why the Ratio Is Not One Number
Regular unscented liquid chlorine bleach only — nothing scented, color-safe, or with added cleaners. The dose depends on concentration, which varies between 6% and 8.25% sodium hypochlorite, so you must read the label. Per gallon of clear water: 8 drops of 6% bleach, or 6 drops of 8.25%. Per quart or liter: 2 drops of either. Mix, and let it stand 30 minutes before drinking. Double the dose if the water is cloudy, colored, or very cold. If there is no chlorine smell after 30 minutes, repeat the dose and let it stand another 15 minutes.
What Is Already in the House
A water heater holds tens of gallons. Learn how to isolate and drain it on a calm afternoon, not during an outage. Use the same afternoon to find the main water shutoff: in a winter outage, frozen pipes are the damage most households experience.
Backup Power
Never Backfeed the House
Plugging a generator into a dryer or range outlet with a double-male cord energizes the home’s wiring and pushes power back out through the service drop onto lines that utility crews believe are dead. The electrical code requires listed transfer equipment — a transfer switch or a listed interlock kit — precisely to make this impossible.
The hazard is basic electrical physics and it is the consistent position of every utility safety program. No specific fatality report is cited. The point is the mechanism.
Size It for the Things That Matter, Not the House
The honest list is short: refrigerator, a few lights, phone charging, and any medical device. A refrigerator draws a few hundred watts running but several times that at startup, which is what determines the generator you need. Do the arithmetic from the nameplate ratings of your actual appliances rather than a chart.
Battery Stations versus Fuel
Battery units are silent, emit nothing, and can run indoors — which removes the entire carbon monoxide problem that heads this page. Their limit is energy: capacity is fixed until the sun or the grid returns. Fuel generators have effectively unlimited runtime and a lethal exhaust. For a CPAP or a refrigerator through a night, a battery is usually the better and safer answer; for days of outage in winter, fuel does work batteries cannot.
Fuel Storage Is Governed, and Locally
Quantities of gasoline stored at a dwelling are limited by fire code adopted from NFPA 30, with local amendments. Call your fire department and ask what your code allows, which also tells them you exist. Propane does not degrade the way gasoline does, which is its real advantage for anything stored and rarely used.
How Long This Lasts
What a Normal Year Looks Like
US customers averaged about 5.5 hours of interruption a year across 2014–2023, of which routine non-major-event outages are about 2 hours. That is the baseline: most outages are short, and most preparation is therefore about comfort rather than survival.
What a Bad Year Looks Like
In 2024 the average rose to about 11 hours, the highest in a decade, with major events — hurricanes Beryl, Helene and Milton — accounting for roughly 80% of the hours. The distribution is what matters: the average is short, and the tail is where people die.
The Case Study Everyone Should Read
The joint FERC and NERC inquiry into the February 2021 cold-weather outages found freezing and fuel-supply problems accounted for 75.6% of unplanned generation outages, and — the detail worth remembering — that 81% of freeze-related failures happened at temperatures above the units’ own stated design minimums. Protecting four categories of plant components from freezing could have cut freeze-related outages by an estimated 67% in ERCOT, 47% in SPP, and 55% in MISO South. Texas recorded 246 storm-related deaths in its official count, a figure lower than independent excess-mortality estimates.
Where the Risk Is Now
NERC’s winter reliability assessment for 2025–26 names seven areas at elevated risk of shortfall in extreme conditions: NPCC-Maritimes, NPCC-New England, SERC-East, SERC-Central, Texas RE-ERCOT, WECC-Basin, and WECC-NW. It cites reserve margins, gas pipeline constraints, and winter peak demand rising with electrification and data-center load. This is a planning document written by the reliability organization itself, and it is a better source than anything with a countdown clock on it.
When the Phone Does Not Work
Do Not Assume the Phone Works
Cell sites have backup power that is finite, and the FCC’s regulatory history on backup power requirements is complicated — rules adopted after Katrina were challenged and scaled back. The Commission collects outage data through its Disaster Information Reporting System during activated disasters, which is where the county-level cell site outage percentages in disaster coverage come from.
A Receiver That Needs Nothing
A battery or hand-crank NOAA weather radio with SAME programming works when the network does not, and costs less than a tank of fuel. Program it for your county and it stays silent until it matters.
Agree on the Plan While the Power Is On
Where the household meets, who calls whom, the out-of-area contact who is easier to reach than a local number during a regional event, and the written copy of numbers nobody has memorized since 2007.
Special Cases
Insulin
FDA guidance for emergencies says unopened or in-use insulin vials and cartridges may be kept unrefrigerated between 59°F and 86°F for up to 28 days and remain usable. Insulin removed from its original container or diluted should be discarded within two weeks. Insulin in a pump infusion set exposed above 98.6°F should be discarded. Insulin that has frozen should never be used. FDA also directs patients to the manufacturer for product-specific guidance. Twenty-eight days is not a universal rule.
Device-Dependent Household Members
Battery runtime measured in advance, a charging plan, registration with the utility’s medical program, and a named destination if the outage outlasts the batteries.
Infants, Elderly Members and Pets
Formula and feeding, medication schedules, mobility, and animals all need their own line in the written plan. The rule that covers all three is that the plan is written down and someone other than you can execute it.
Cash
Card networks and ATMs run on electricity. A small amount of cash in small denominations is the most boring item on any preparedness list and the one most often missing.